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January 2027 window · 91 days to go

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Every credible transfer rumour, rated by how likely it is to happen: the SWOOP Index. Think you know better? Prove it.

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30
live sagas tracked
41
credible reports this week
20
sources credited this week

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The number is how many live sagas involve the club through a credible report.

The big questionAlex Scott to Liverpool?The Index says 16%. Do you know better?Make your call ↓
Live wire
  1. Folarin BalogunInterestMONMUNTEAMtalk · 2d agoMan Utd, Leeds, Newcastle and Forest interested.12%Man Utd
  2. EndrickInterestRMAMILEkrem Konur · 2d agoAC Milan want him on loan.17%Milan
  3. Enzo FernándezInterestMCIATMEkrem Konur · 2d agoAtlético among three clubs interested.12%Atlético
  4. Nico PazInterestCOMMUNEl Nacional · 2d agoMan Utd preparing a big offer.13%Man Utd
Repeats of someone else’s story are folded in, not counted.Every saga →
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Your call

Is Alex Scott off to Liverpool?

The Index isn’t convinced Scott is going anywhere yet. Get in early: the sooner you call it right, the more you score.

STAY48%LIV16%CHE15%MCI15%OTH6%
Why the Index says 16% →

How likely is Scott to join Liverpool?

You
16%
The Index
16%
Gap
0
Index
No chanceCoin flipNailed on

Drag to make your call. The Index says 16%.

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All trending and every saga →
No move above 50% yet

Likeliest so far

ARS
Álex Baena
Being watched
23%ARS
Vinícius Júnior
Talks under way
23%EVE
Marcus Rashford
Talks under way
23%ATM
Lisandro Martínez
Being watched
21%CHE
Jules Koundé
Being watched
20%
Last 24 hours

On the move

+8
Marcus Rashford
Warming up · Everton now 23%
+6
Lisandro Martínez
Warming up · Atlético now 21%
+5
Álex Baena
Warming up · Arsenal now 23%
+5
Pedro Porro
Warming up · Liverpool now 18%
+5
Vinícius Júnior
Warming up · Arsenal now 23%
Where the fans disagree

Fans vs the Index

Every number kept and marked against what happened

The Index’s record

No sagas have settled yet, so there’s no record to show. It starts with the first confirmed result, and every one is published, misses included.

30 live sagas tracked0 fans have made a call
January 2027 window

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